Ranking the Candidates for 2018 NFL MVP
April 17, 2018
5. Antonio Brown
Considering only one of the last eleven MVP winners wasn’t a quarterback (Adrian Peterson in 2012), it’s rare to see a skill position player win the award.
However, Antonio Brown is a rare player.
Many would argue that Antonio Brown is hands down the best wide receiver in the NFL. He not only has the stats to support that argument – 6,349 yards and 44 touchdowns dating back to 2014 – but has also consistently led his team to wins in the most crucial moments of both games and the season.
This past year, Brown made at least one clutch reception – whether it was to set up a game winning field goal, get a game clinching first down or score a go ahead/game tying touchdown – against the Browns, Chiefs, Colts, Packers, Bengals and Ravens.
Some of these receptions were absolutely insane…
That’s six occasions on which Brown made a crucial impact on the game, leading his team to a win.
Of course, this doesn’t even include the monster games he had that Pittsburgh won by a wide margin.
Antonio Brown is simply a game changer and the entire football world has become aware, including other NFL players.
https://twitter.com/ShowtimeTate/status/940087001771941896?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.espn.com%2Fblog%2Fpittsburgh-steelers%2Fpost%2F_%2Fid%2F26333%2Fantonio-brown-heats-up-mvp-case-with-every-torched-secondary&tfw_site=espn
@AB84 is unreal another game winning reception that’s like 4in a row!!!
— Todd Gurley II (@TG3II) December 11, 2017
Despite a disappointing end to the season, Antonio Brown was beyond dominant and we should expect more of the same this upcoming year.
A wide receiver has never won the award, but this year, he will certainly convince some people that he should be the first to do so.
4. Jimmy Garoppolo
After being traded from New England to San Francisco, Jimmy Garoppolo finished the 2017 season on an extremely high note, throwing 1,560 yards and 7 touchdowns while leading the 49ers to a 5-0 finish.
Yes, it’s only five games but there are plenty of reasons why 49ers fans should be excited about what the future holds. Look what Garoppolo did with virtually no help. His offensive line was constantly changing due to injuries and the team lacked effective skill players outside of Marquise Goodwin and Carlos Hyde (who weren’t exactly Pro Bowl level players themselves).
Even with little support, Jimmy G still put up numbers and W’s.
During these five games with the Niners, Garoppolo displayed confidence in the pocket, a high football IQ and a keen ability to make difficult throws. He also showed flashes of possessing the same killer instinct that we see from the top quarterbacks in the NFL.
The 49ers have since added some reinforcements for Garoppolo including RB Jerick McKinnon who, in Minnesota, showed signs of being a dangerous threat both on the ground and through the air.
The offensive line will automatically be better when fully healthy and with the addition of OL Weston Richburg who the 49ers view as, “one of the top young interior offensive linemen in the NFL,” they could be one of the better o-lines in the league.
Not to mention, they added some effective players – headlined by Richard Sherman – to a defense that was already very solid at times last year which will make Garoppolo’s life a lot easier.
Jimmy Garoppolo certainly has a lot to prove but if he is able to build upon last year and show that he’s worth his enormous new contract, he will definitely be in the MVP race.
3. Tom Brady
There isn’t a whole lot I need to say here.
Tom Brady may be 40 years old, but after a record breaking 505 passing yard performance in Super Bowl LII, he has shown zero signs of slowing down.
Just because of that, he has to remain in the MVP conversation which he’s in virtually every year.
The talk of the offseason in New England has been about the possible demise of the Brady-Belichick era. Amendola’s gone, Gronk might retire, no one likes playing for Belichick, Bob Kraft and Belichick hate each other, etc., etc.
The rumors could be true and this year could be the beginning of the downfall of the Patriot dynasty.
However, until it actually happens, Brady has to be in right in the middle of the MVP conversation.
2. Carson Wentz
Many believed that Carson Wentz would have been the 2017 NFL MVP had he not tore his ACL in Week 14.
While he was on the field, Carson Wentz made the city of Philadelphia believe that they have finally found their franchise quarterback.
At the time of his injury, Wentz was the league leader in passing touchdowns (and still finished in second with 33 TD’s despite missing the last three games of the season), finished first in total QBR (75.9), threw for 3,296 yards and led his team to an 11-2 record.
On top of that, Wentz has proven that he has that “It” Factor. He put up several dominating performances, even in the national spotlight, and consistently made timely plays in critical moments, leading his team to wins.
What he might be best known for, however, is his incredible ability to make something out of nothing as shown below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7lk2zU2-9Y
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LknfknnWaeE
This not only is a credit to Carson Wentz as a player but also often bails his team out of tough situations.
Assuming his rehab goes well and he returns to form, Wentz should return to being one of the best young quarterbacks (and arguably one of the best quarterbacks, period.) in the NFL. He should be in good position to make another case for MVP next January.
1. Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers is my favorite to win the 2018 NFL MVP.
There is no player, let alone quarterback, who has been asked to do more with minimal help than Aaron Rodgers has.
In other words, no other player is as valuable to their team as Aaron Rodgers is to the Green Bay Packers.
This was more than evident this past year as Green Bay went from a 4-1 start with Rodgers to 3-8 without him after he suffered a broken collarbone. With him, the Packers are a title contending team and without him, they’re in the bottom third of the league.
Aaron Rodgers is so valuable to his team because often times, he practically is the entire team. Prior to his injury, his backfield consisted of rookies and was led by a wide receiver.
Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams were both productive at the receiver position but Rodgers often had to evade pressure and deliver difficult passes to them as he was protected by an offensive line riddled with injuries.
Not to mention, Green Bay had what many considered to be an average at best defense.
In spite of this severe lack of help, Aaron Rodgers is still able to dominate en route to (many times single-handedly) winning games for his team. He’s capable of making incredibly difficult throws that virtually no other quarterback is capable of making. Rodgers simply makes things happen in the most pivotal moments of games.
Aaron Rodgers is on track to be fully healthy by the start of the season. With a healthy offensive line, a new weapon in TE Jimmy Graham and a defense that should be good enough to get the job done, there’s a good chance he will return to his usual dominant self.
If this is the case – and it’s looking like it will be – he will be in a great position to remind the league why he is the most valuable player in the NFL.
Mr. Mabey • Apr 26, 2018 at 11:46 am
Clearly, there is only one individual in the social studies hallway that is best prepared to understand the complexities of the NFL and he resides in room 160. Predictions for 2018 are really quite simple:
1) Steelers hoist Lombardi #7
2) AB is the MVP
3) The Patriots never recover from their off season woes, Tom Brady examines a full time career modeling UGGS, Gronk is guaranteed the WWE championship belt and Belichick ponders his next coaching stop with the mighty Buccaneers.
4) Garapolo does little to make people forget about Montana, Young or even the one hit wonder Kaepernick.
5) The Vikings, Dolphins and Eagles all earn one thing in common – a top 20 draft pick.
Mr. D • Apr 25, 2018 at 6:34 am
The author did a disservice to Garappolo at number 4. He should be cemented as the top candidate for 2018 NFL MVP. What he accomplished in only five starts is downright unfathomable. He beat three 2017 playoff teams (JAX, LA and TEN) and did so with skill position players that even the Cleveland Browns would not envy. His top TE was an unheralded rookie (George Kittle) and his top WR was already out for the year with a neck injury (Pierre Garcon). Furthermore, he had a backfield that consisted of frequently injured (Carlos Hyde) and an undrafted rookie (Matt Breida). Finally, he played behind an O-line that even the Swiss would call porous. All this while having to crash course the offense in a 4 week time frame. You’d be hard pressed to find quarterbacks that have an entire off season and training camp to formulate that resume let alone 4 weeks during the season. Oh, that’s right, I forgot. This conversation is moot because the LA Rams (along with their supposed franchise quarterback Jared Goff) have already won the division, conference, Super Bowl and maybe even the NBA title as well. Fear not, the guy they quietly refer to as “Jimmy G” will be ready with a full off-season of preparation and newly minted offensive players in the form of Jerrick McKinnon, Weston Richburg and Jonathan Cooper. Captivating piece by the author. I simply believe Garoppolo is the hands down NFL MVP favorite. Change my mind Bobcat Nation. :Drops mic, walks off stage:
Mr. Zeuschner • Apr 26, 2018 at 9:19 am
Mr. D has given all of us an wonderful example of the origin of the word “fan.” It comes from the word “fanatic.” His comment is so one sided journalism schools should be using it as an exemplar of biased writing. I’m surprised his keyboard didn’t short circuit as he wrote that mindless drivel about a quarterback who has started seven games and only finished six. A quarterback for a team that may or may not have a future being built by a GM with no real experience and a head coach who is the product of nepotism. Get the excuses ready for another disappointing season in SF (of course 8-8 would make those fans happy now).
Some predictions for the upcoming NFL season for the author and people who have replied:
1: Jimmy G. will NOT be the MVP.
2. The Eaglets will not repeat as Super Bowl Champions.
3. The Vikings will find a way to snatch defeat out f the jaws of victory.
4. The Dolphins will stink.
5. The Steelers will find a way to whine about not representing the AFC in the Super Bowl.
I’m confident in all of those predictions and am willing to make my usual jersey bet with any of the writers.
Connor Kapisak • Apr 19, 2018 at 10:52 am
Kirk Cousins. That is all.
Mr. Zeuschner • Apr 19, 2018 at 10:17 am
Once again Amir has provided a well written article. His arguments are lucid and focused, but his conclusions are, overall, questionable.
Antonio Brown: Will be in the conversation only after Ben Roethlisberger and Le’veon Bell. Arguable the third MVP on his team.
Jimmy G: Seriously? The man has started seven games in the NFL and didn’t finish one of them. While quick turn arounds happen in the NFL, to put Jimmy G. on such a list and not Jared Goff, who has a better team, is mind-boggling.
TB12 (the GOAT): Probably placed right. Greatness gets undervalued year in and year out by the voters for MVP. When it’s expected they don’t vote for you.
Carson Wentz: After a strong rookie season and a great half-plus second season, Wentz has moved into the “above average QB” category. The criticism is that the Eagles didn’t miss a step after his injury. To view him as a serious MVP candidate takes green goggles. The Eagles are due for a Super Bowl letdown. They will face stiffer competition because everyone wants to beat the champs. They will not repeat. If Wentz has a bad game, the quarterback controversy will erupt and Philly loves a controversy. A long shot at best.
Aaron Rodgers: Tough to go wrong here except that Green Bay is in a bit of a mess and Aaron isn’t happy. That said, he’s great and always in consideration.
It’s great to see lists like this, as they provoke discussion. Thank you Amir for writing this piece.
Brendan Mabey • Apr 19, 2018 at 10:16 am
Amir, you bring up great points about AB being the most dominant consistent receiver in the league throughout his career. AB is the best receiver the nfl has ever seen, by the end of his career he will have broken a ridiculous amount of NFL receiving records. Through conversations we have had I know that you agree with everything I have said so far, so that brings me to the question how are you ranking him 5th on this list? He is coming off one of the best seasons of his career and is obviously in his prime. I realize that quarterbacks typically win the MVP however putting garapolo who started a total of 6 games in 2017 over AB on this list is just disgraceful. As for Aaron Rogers everyone knows he’s great but he’s your top pick for 2018 MVP, cmon Amir id rather have you just put wentz at 1 like we know you want to. All in all I think you made a great list the order is just very debatable and should be reconsidered.
Mr. Mabey • Apr 18, 2018 at 2:00 pm
Where to begin…..AB MVP – should’ve been this year. Wentz is a flash in the pan, Brady might not even play, according to Gisele and Aaron Rodgers, well who’s he throwing the ball to? Garrapolo??? Who’s writing this piece, D’Amato??? Come on Amir, you are better than this, make the corrections. AB MVP 2018!
Austin DeLillo • Apr 19, 2018 at 7:35 am
I have to agree with Mr.Mabey for many diffrent reasons. First off, Jimmy garrapolo being put on this list is a bit shocking. While he was a stud last year, and I believe he’s going to have a very bright future. Saying he’s the 4th best player to win MVP next year in his second season being the full starter, I don’t see that big of a jump from him. With that being said, I believe that Carson should be 1st simply because he was the MVP last year, until he went down injured. The Eagles only got better this offseason too. Antonio brown had one of the best seasons well ever see from a receiver, with ridiculous catch after ridiculous catch, he was the man. I think he should be put second, instead of being put dead last. Regardless, I like the article, very good and thought provoking read.